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Business Forecasting;Using the United Kingdom statistics locates Banks consumer credit: Gross lending figures from 1993-2003

84 84 84 83 82

LAGS(DATA,13) Pearson Correlation .940** .972** .934** .951** .964** .948** 1 .947**

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 . .000

N 83 83 83 83 83 83 83 82

LAGS(DATA,14) Pearson Correlation .954** .938** .958** .933** .939** .945** .947** 1

Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .000 .

N 82 82 82 82 82 82 82 82

** Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).

From the correlation between the data and lagged data, these are all high and then we need to use regression on the chosen columns to find the relationship.

Variables Entered/Removed

Model Variables Entered Variables Removed Method

1 LAGS(DATA,14), LAGS(DATA,4), LAGS(DATA,10), LAGS(DATA,12), LAGS(DATA,3), LAGS(DATA,1), LAGS(DATA,13) . Enter

a All requested variables entered.

b Dependent Variable: DATA

Model Summary

Model R R Square Adjusted R Square Std. Error of the Estimate

1 0.980 0.961 0.957 448.91311

a